Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.05Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓64% · @1.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10
Antigua GFC vs Aurora preview and prediction
The match
Antigua GFC host Aurora in the Liga Nacional on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Pensativo. Antigua GFC are 5th with 34 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Aurora sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Antigua GFC's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo San Pedro 3–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aurora's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Malacateco 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 February 2026, finished Antigua GFC 2–0 Aurora.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Antigua GFC and 1.0 for Aurora. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Antigua GFC 2–1 Aurora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antigua GFC64%fair 1.57 · @1.33
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @4.20
Aurora19%fair 5.29 · @8.50
3.18Expected goals
2.14Antigua GFC xG
1.04Aurora xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 2.1 – 1.0 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Aurora 19%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 2–1 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
Antigua GFC vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
