Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarquense to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.80
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial preview and prediction
The match
Marquense host Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. Marquense are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Cobán Imperial sit 6th on 32 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Marquense's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Suchitepéquez 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cobán Imperial's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Antigua GFC 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cobán Imperial arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 March 2026, finished Marquense 3–1 Cobán Imperial.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Marquense and 0.9 for Cobán Imperial. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Marquense 1–0 Cobán Imperial. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marquense58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.25
Cobán Imperial21%fair 4.71 · @4.20
2.58Expected goals
1.70Marquense xG
0.89Cobán Imperial xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.7 – 0.9 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
On our numbers Marquense have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cobán Imperial 21%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Cobán Imperial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.