Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Guastatoya to win @ 3.70 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMixco to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Mixco vs Guastatoya preview and prediction
The match
Mixco host Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). Mixco are 3rd with 36 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Guastatoya sit 7th on 31 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mixco's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat UMECIT 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Guastatoya's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Municipal 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Mixco and 1.1 for Guastatoya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mixco 40%, draw 26%, Guastatoya 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Guastatoya to win at 3.70 – 34% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Mixco 1–1 Guastatoya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mixco40%fair 2.52 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.88
Guastatoya34%fair 2.90 · @3.70
2.23Expected goals
1.17Mixco xG
1.06Guastatoya xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.2 – 1.1 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mixco to win✓
40%
2.52
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mixco / FT Mixco✓
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Form
Mixco – last 6
WLLWWL
20 Aug
vs UMECIT
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Cobán Imperial
2–3
L
12 Aug
@ Deportivo Saprissa
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Marquense
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Suchitepéquez
2–0
W
29 Jul
@ CD Olimpia
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guastatoya – last 6
WLWWLL
16 Aug
vs Municipal
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Malacateco
4–0
W
25 Jul
@ Aurora
1–0
W
3 May
@ Municipal
0–2
L
1 May
vs Municipal
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixco and Guastatoya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Mixco vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Mixco have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guastatoya 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Mixco 1–1 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Guastatoya?
Mixco vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
