Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Aurora to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAurora to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.73
Aurora vs Suchitepéquez preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Aurora take on Suchitepéquez on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Form guide
Aurora's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Deportivo San Pedro 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Suchitepéquez's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Marquense 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Aurora and 0.7 for Suchitepéquez. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Aurora to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aurora or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Aurora 1–0 Suchitepéquez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aurora62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.20
Suchitepéquez15%fair 6.60 · @3.60
2.46Expected goals
1.74Aurora xG
0.72Suchitepéquez xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aurora 1.7 – 0.7 Suchitepéquez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aurora to win✓
62%
1.62
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Aurora or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Aurora ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aurora / FT Aurora✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.73
–
Form
Aurora – last 6
LWLLLL
16 Aug
@ Deportivo San Pedro
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Comunicaciones
3–1
W
4 Aug
@ Xelajú
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Guastatoya
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Marquense
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Suchitepéquez – last 4
LLLD
17 Aug
vs Marquense
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Deportivo San Pedro
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Mixco
0–2
L
27 Jul
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aurora and Suchitepéquez.
What is the prediction for Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
Our pick is Aurora or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
On our numbers Aurora have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Suchitepéquez 15%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
Our predicted score is Aurora 1–0 Suchitepéquez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aurora vs Suchitepéquez?
Aurora vs Suchitepéquez (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
