Value bet: Deportivo San Pedro to win @ 1.60 – our chance 68% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo San Pedro to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chanceDeportivo San Pedro or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.85
Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Deportivo San Pedro take on Aurora on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Deportivo San Pedro's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Suchitepéquez 3–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aurora's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Comunicaciones 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Deportivo San Pedro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Deportivo San Pedro and 0.5 for Aurora. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo San Pedro 68%, draw 22%, Aurora 10%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Deportivo San Pedro to win at 1.60 – 68% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo San Pedro 1–0 Aurora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo San Pedro68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Aurora10%fair 10.50 · @5.40
2.37Expected goals
1.83Deportivo San Pedro xG
0.54Aurora xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo San Pedro 1.8 – 0.5 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo San Pedro to win✓
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo San Pedro or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Deportivo San Pedro ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo San Pedro / FT Deportivo San Pedro✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.85
–
Form
Deportivo San Pedro – last 3
WLW
9 Aug
vs Suchitepéquez
3–0
W
2 Aug
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Xelajú
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aurora – last 6
WLLLLD
8 Aug
vs Comunicaciones
3–1
W
4 Aug
@ Xelajú
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Guastatoya
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Marquense
0–1
L
11 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo San Pedro and Aurora.
What is the prediction for Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora?
On our numbers Deportivo San Pedro have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aurora 10%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Deportivo San Pedro 1–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora?
Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
