Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMixco to win ✓69% · @1.44
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
Mixco vs Marquense preview and prediction
The match
Marquense travel to face Mixco in the Liga Nacional on Saturday 8 August (18:00 WAT). Mixco are 3rd with 36 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Marquense sit 8th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mixco's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Suchitepéquez 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Marquense's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Municipal 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Mixco 2–1 Marquense. Across their last 2 meetings Mixco have won 1, Marquense 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Mixco and 0.6 for Marquense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mixco 69%, draw 22%, Marquense 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mixco to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Mixco 2–0 Marquense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mixco69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.75
Marquense9%fair 11.74 · @7.20
2.66Expected goals
2.04Mixco xG
0.62Marquense xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mixco 2.0 – 0.6 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Mixco to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mixco vs Marquense?
On our numbers Mixco have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Marquense 9%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Mixco 2–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Marquense?
Mixco vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
