Value bet: Antigua GFC to win @ 1.65 – our chance 64% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya preview and prediction
The match
Antigua GFC host Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Pensativo. Antigua GFC are 5th with 34 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Guastatoya sit 7th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Antigua GFC's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Real Estelí 0–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Guastatoya's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Malacateco 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 April 2026, finished Guastatoya 3–0 Antigua GFC. Across their last 2 meetings Antigua GFC have won 1, Guastatoya 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Antigua GFC and 0.8 for Guastatoya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Antigua GFC to win at 1.65 – 64% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Antigua GFC 2–0 Guastatoya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antigua GFC64%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
Guastatoya12%fair 8.22 · @5.25
2.71Expected goals
1.96Antigua GFC xG
0.75Guastatoya xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 2.0 – 0.8 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guastatoya 12%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 2–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya?
Antigua GFC vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo San Pedro3
Suchitepéquez0