Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUlaanbaatar to win ✓49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.48
Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar preview and prediction
The match
Ulaanbaatar travel to face Khangarid in the Premier League on Friday 3 July (12:00 WAT). Khangarid are 4th with 34 points from 22 games, while Ulaanbaatar sit 1st on 54 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Khangarid's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Deren 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Ulaanbaatar's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Central Stallions 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ulaanbaatar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 June 2026, finished Ulaanbaatar 3–1 Khangarid. Across their last 2 meetings Khangarid have won 0, Ulaanbaatar 2, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.0 for Khangarid and 2.5 for Ulaanbaatar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 3.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Khangarid 2–2 Ulaanbaatar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Khangarid33%fair 3.07 · @2.65
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.90
Ulaanbaatar49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
4.49Expected goals
2.02Khangarid xG
2.47Ulaanbaatar xG
64%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–27%
2–36%
1–36%
2–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Khangarid 2.0 – 2.5 Ulaanbaatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?
On our numbers Khangarid have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ulaanbaatar 49%.
How many goals will there be in Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?
Our predicted score is Khangarid 2–2 Ulaanbaatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar?
Khangarid vs Ulaanbaatar (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
