Value bet: Rudar to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRudar to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Mogren vs Rudar preview and prediction
The match
Mogren host Rudar in the Second League on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Mogren are 7th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Rudar sit 8th on 18 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mogren's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Grbalj 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Rudar's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Zeta 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Rudar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Rudar 0–3 Mogren.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Mogren and 1.5 for Rudar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mogren 34%, draw 24%, Rudar 42%.
Value angle: Rudar to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Mogren 1–2 Rudar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mogren34%fair 2.94 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Rudar42%fair 2.41 · @2.62
2.86Expected goals
1.35Mogren xG
1.51Rudar xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Mogren 1.3 – 1.5 Rudar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
On our numbers Mogren have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rudar 42%.
How many goals will there be in Mogren vs Rudar?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mogren vs Rudar?
Our predicted score is Mogren 1–2 Rudar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mogren vs Rudar?
Mogren vs Rudar (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
