Value bet: Excelsior Virton to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultExcelsior Virton to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.42
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt preview and prediction
The match
Excelsior Virton host Sporting Hasselt in the Challenger Pro League on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stade Yvan Georges. Excelsior Virton are 8th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Sporting Hasselt sit 6th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Excelsior Virton's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Oostkamp 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting Hasselt's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Mandel United 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Excelsior Virton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Excelsior Virton and 0.9 for Sporting Hasselt. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Excelsior Virton to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Excelsior Virton 1–1 Sporting Hasselt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excelsior Virton45%fair 2.24 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.30
Sporting Hasselt34%fair 2.91 · @2.45
1.91Expected goals
1.05Excelsior Virton xG
0.86Sporting Hasselt xG
56%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Excelsior Virton 1.1 – 0.9 Sporting Hasselt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior Virton to win✗
45%
2.24
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.42
–
Form
Excelsior Virton – last 6
WDWLWW
26 Sep
@ Oostkamp
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Lokeren-Temse
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs KRC Genk II
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Francs Borains
0–1
L
21 Aug
@ RSC Anderlecht II
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting Hasselt – last 6
WLWLLW
26 Sep
@ Mandel United
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Beerschot VA
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Seraing United
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ KRC Genk II
0–3
L
28 Aug
vs KAA Gent II
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ Francs Borains
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Virton and Sporting Hasselt.
What is the prediction for Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
On our numbers Excelsior Virton have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting Hasselt 34%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
Our predicted score is Excelsior Virton 1–1 Sporting Hasselt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt?
Excelsior Virton vs Sporting Hasselt (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Yvan Georges.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
