Value bet: Excelsior Virton to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultExcelsior Virton to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains preview and prediction
The match
The Challenger Pro League sees Excelsior Virton take on Francs Borains on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stade Yvan Georges. Excelsior Virton are 8th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Francs Borains sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Excelsior Virton's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat RSC Anderlecht II 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Francs Borains's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Sporting Hasselt 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Excelsior Virton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Excelsior Virton and 0.9 for Francs Borains. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Excelsior Virton to win at 2.62 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Excelsior Virton 1–1 Francs Borains. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excelsior Virton43%fair 2.31 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Francs Borains34%fair 2.92 · @2.45
2.00Expected goals
1.09Excelsior Virton xG
0.91Francs Borains xG
57%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Excelsior Virton 1.1 – 0.9 Francs Borains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excelsior Virton to win✗
43%
2.31
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excelsior Virton / FT Excelsior Virton✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.80
–
Form
Excelsior Virton – last 6
WWDDDW
21 Aug
@ RSC Anderlecht II
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs K. Lierse S.K.
3–0
W
5 Aug
vs Strasbourg II
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Rochefort
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Progres Niederkorn
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs US Hostert
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Francs Borains – last 6
LWWWLL
23 Aug
vs Sporting Hasselt
0–1
L
17 Aug
@ Liège
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ Feignies-Aulnoye
2–0
W
23 Jul
vs Tubize
3–0
W
15 Jul
@ Reims
1–4
L
11 Jul
@ Standard Liege
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior Virton and Francs Borains.
What is the prediction for Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
On our numbers Excelsior Virton have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Francs Borains 34%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
Our predicted score is Excelsior Virton 1–1 Francs Borains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains?
Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Yvan Georges.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
