The Challenger Pro League sees Liège take on Dender on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stade de Rocourt. Liège are 15th with 5 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Dender sit 2nd on 20 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Liège's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat KRC Genk II 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dender's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Beerschot VA 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Liège arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Liège and 1.4 for Dender. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liège 37%, draw 24%, Dender 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Liège 1–1 Dender. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liège37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Dender40%fair 2.53 · @2.40
2.75Expected goals
1.35Liège xG
1.41Dender xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Liège 1.3 – 1.4 Dender expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dender to win✓
40%
2.53
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dender / FT Dender✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
Liège – last 6
WLDWWD
23 Aug
@ KRC Genk II
3–2
W
17 Aug
vs Francs Borains
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Patro Eisden
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Waremme
7–0
W
25 Jul
@ Aywaille
7–0
W
24 Jul
@ Atert Bissen
1–1
D
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dender – last 6
WLLLLL
22 Aug
vs Beerschot VA
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Sporting Hasselt
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Oudenaarde
0–5
L
1 Aug
@ Lokeren-Temse
0–3
L
17 May
@ Lommel United
2–3
L
24 Apr
@ Cercle Brugge
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liège and Dender.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Liège vs Dender?
On our numbers Liège have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dender 40%.
How many goals will there be in Liège vs Dender?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liège vs Dender?
Our predicted score is Liège 1–1 Dender, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Liège vs Dender?
Liège vs Dender (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Rocourt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
