Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiège to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.76
KRC Genk II vs Liège preview and prediction
The match
The Challenger Pro League sees KRC Genk II take on Liège on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Cegeka Arena. KRC Genk II are 10th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Liège sit 15th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
KRC Genk II's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Liège's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Francs Borains 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
KRC Genk II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.8 for KRC Genk II and 2.2 for Liège. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: KRC Genk II 33%, draw 22%, Liège 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: KRC Genk II 1–2 Liège. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KRC Genk II33%fair 3.01 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Liège45%fair 2.23 · @2.25
4.00Expected goals
1.85KRC Genk II xG
2.15Liège xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: KRC Genk II 1.8 – 2.2 Liège expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liège to win✓
45%
2.23
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Liège ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liège / FT Liège✓
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.76
–
Form
KRC Genk II – last 6
DLWDWW
19 Aug
@ Oud-Heverlee Leuven II
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ AS Eupen
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Zelzate
2–1
W
5 Aug
@ Royal Antwerp II
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs FC Eindhoven
4–2
W
22 Jul
@ Eendracht Termien
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Liège – last 6
LDWWDL
17 Aug
vs Francs Borains
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Patro Eisden
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Waremme
7–0
W
25 Jul
@ Aywaille
7–0
W
24 Jul
@ Atert Bissen
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs St. Truiden
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KRC Genk II and Liège.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win KRC Genk II vs Liège?
On our numbers KRC Genk II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Liège 45%.
How many goals will there be in KRC Genk II vs Liège?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KRC Genk II vs Liège?
Our predicted score is KRC Genk II 1–2 Liège, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is KRC Genk II vs Liège?
KRC Genk II vs Liège (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
