Value bet: Francs Borains to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiège to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Liège vs Francs Borains preview and prediction
The match
Liège host Francs Borains in the Challenger Pro League on Monday 17 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade de Rocourt. Liège are 15th with 5 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Francs Borains sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Liège's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Patro Eisden 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Francs Borains's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Feignies-Aulnoye 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Liège and 1.3 for Francs Borains. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Francs Borains to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Liège 1–1 Francs Borains. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liège45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.45
Francs Borains34%fair 2.90 · @3.20
2.85Expected goals
1.54Liège xG
1.31Francs Borains xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Liège 1.5 – 1.3 Francs Borains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liège to win✗
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liège / FT Liège✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Form
Liège – last 6
DWWDLW
8 Aug
@ Patro Eisden
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Waremme
7–0
W
25 Jul
@ Aywaille
7–0
W
24 Jul
@ Atert Bissen
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs St. Truiden
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Malmundaria
7–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Francs Borains – last 6
WWLLWW
24 Jul
@ Feignies-Aulnoye
2–0
W
23 Jul
vs Tubize
3–0
W
15 Jul
@ Reims
1–4
L
11 Jul
@ Standard Liege
0–1
L
10 Jul
vs Crossing Schaerbeek
5–2
W
4 Jul
@ Sporting Club Jemappes
8–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liège and Francs Borains.
What is the prediction for Liège vs Francs Borains?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liège vs Francs Borains?
On our numbers Liège have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Francs Borains 34%.
How many goals will there be in Liège vs Francs Borains?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liège vs Francs Borains?
Our predicted score is Liège 1–1 Francs Borains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Liège vs Francs Borains?
Liège vs Francs Borains (Challenger Pro League) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Rocourt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
