Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Dekani to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDekani to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceDekani or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
Dekani vs Brežice preview and prediction
The match
The 2. SNL sees Dekani take on Brežice on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Dekani are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Brežice sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dekani's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Triglav 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Brežice's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Aluminij 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Dekani arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Dekani and 0.8 for Brežice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dekani 62%, draw 19%, Brežice 19%.
Safer route: Dekani or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Dekani to win at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dekani or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Dekani 1–0 Brežice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dekani62%fair 1.61 · @1.83
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.50
Brežice19%fair 5.32 · @3.60
2.43Expected goals
1.68Dekani xG
0.75Brežice xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Dekani 1.7 – 0.8 Brežice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dekani to win✗
62%
1.61
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Dekani or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dekani / FT Dekani✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.77
–
Form
Dekani – last 6
LWLWWD
16 Oct
@ Triglav
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Dren Vrhnika
1–0
W
6 Oct
@ Bilje
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Ilirija
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Krka
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Beltinci
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Brežice – last 6
DWDDLL
23 Oct
vs Aluminij
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Krško
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Jesenice
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Primorje
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Slovan Ljubljana
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rudar
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dekani and Brežice.
Our pick is Dekani or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dekani vs Brežice?
On our numbers Dekani have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Brežice 19%.
How many goals will there be in Dekani vs Brežice?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dekani vs Brežice?
Our predicted score is Dekani 1–0 Brežice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Dekani vs Brežice?
Dekani vs Brežice (2. SNL) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.