Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bistrica to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBistrica to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceBistrica or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.96
Bistrica vs Primorje preview and prediction
The match
Bistrica host Primorje in the 2. SNL on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Bistrica are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Primorje sit 12th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bistrica's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Slovan Ljubljana 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Primorje's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Dravinja 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bistrica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Bistrica and 1.0 for Primorje. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Bistrica to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bistrica or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bistrica 1–0 Primorje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bistrica58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Primorje19%fair 5.27 · @3.50
2.81Expected goals
1.85Bistrica xG
0.96Primorje xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Bistrica 1.8 – 1.0 Primorje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bistrica to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Bistrica or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Bistrica ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bistrica / FT Bistrica✓
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.96
–
Form
Bistrica – last 6
DWLLWL
11 Oct
@ Slovan Ljubljana
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Rudar
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Dravinja
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Brežice
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Triglav
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Primorje – last 6
DDDLLD
11 Oct
vs Dravinja
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Brežice
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Triglav
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Dren Vrhnika
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Bilje
2–3
L
4 Sep
@ Ilirija
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bistrica and Primorje.
Our pick is Bistrica or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bistrica vs Primorje?
On our numbers Bistrica have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Primorje 19%.
How many goals will there be in Bistrica vs Primorje?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bistrica vs Primorje?
Our predicted score is Bistrica 1–0 Primorje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bistrica vs Primorje?
Bistrica vs Primorje (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
