Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJesenice to win ✗59% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Jesenice vs Brežice preview and prediction
The match
The 2. SNL sees Jesenice take on Brežice on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Jesenice are 8th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Brežice sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jesenice's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Triglav 0–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Brežice's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Primorje 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Jesenice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Jesenice and 1.1 for Brežice. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jesenice 59%, draw 19%, Brežice 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Jesenice to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Jesenice 2–1 Brežice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jesenice59%fair 1.69 · @1.65
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
Brežice22%fair 4.52 · @4.00
3.05Expected goals
1.96Jesenice xG
1.09Brežice xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Jesenice 2.0 – 1.1 Brežice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jesenice to win✗
59%
1.69
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Jesenice ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jesenice / FT Jesenice✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Jesenice – last 6
LWWWLW
4 Oct
@ Triglav
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Dren Vrhnika
5–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bilje
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Ilirija
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Krka
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Beltinci
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brežice – last 6
DLLLLD
3 Oct
vs Primorje
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Slovan Ljubljana
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rudar
3–4
L
16 Sep
@ Triglav
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Bistrica
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Dravinja
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jesenice and Brežice.
Our pick is Jesenice to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Jesenice vs Brežice?
On our numbers Jesenice have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Brežice 22%.
How many goals will there be in Jesenice vs Brežice?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jesenice vs Brežice?
Our predicted score is Jesenice 2–1 Brežice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Jesenice vs Brežice?
Jesenice vs Brežice (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
