Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.22
Triglav vs Primorje preview and prediction
The match
Triglav host Primorje in the 2. SNL on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT). Triglav are 3rd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Primorje sit 12th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Triglav's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Slovan Ljubljana 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Primorje's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Dren Vrhnika 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Triglav arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.3 for Triglav and 0.7 for Primorje. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 43% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Triglav 73%, draw 20%, Primorje 8%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Triglav to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Triglav 2–0 Primorje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Triglav73%fair 1.37 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.75
Primorje8%fair 13.07 · @7.50
2.93Expected goals
2.28Triglav xG
0.65Primorje xG
43%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Triglav 2.3 – 0.7 Primorje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triglav to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Double chance
Triglav or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Triglav ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triglav / FT Triglav✗
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.22
–
Form
Triglav – last 6
WWLWWL
20 Sep
vs Slovan Ljubljana
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Brežice
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Rudar
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Bistrica
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Dravinja
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Primorje – last 6
LLDWLW
19 Sep
@ Dren Vrhnika
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Bilje
2–3
L
4 Sep
@ Ilirija
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Krka
3–2
W
23 Aug
@ Beltinci
0–4
L
15 Aug
vs Dekani
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Triglav and Primorje.
Our pick is Triglav to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Triglav vs Primorje?
On our numbers Triglav have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Primorje 8%.
How many goals will there be in Triglav vs Primorje?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triglav vs Primorje?
Our predicted score is Triglav 2–0 Primorje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Triglav vs Primorje?
Triglav vs Primorje (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
