Value bet: Bistrica to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBistrica to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika preview and prediction
The match
Bistrica host Dren Vrhnika in the 2. SNL on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Bistrica are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Dren Vrhnika sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Bistrica's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Bilje 4–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Dren Vrhnika's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Dravinja 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Dren Vrhnika arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Bistrica and 0.9 for Dren Vrhnika. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Bistrica to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bistrica 1–1 Dren Vrhnika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bistrica63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.44 · @3.45
Dren Vrhnika22%fair 4.57 · @3.40
2.79Expected goals
1.86Bistrica xG
0.93Dren Vrhnika xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Bistrica 1.9 – 0.9 Dren Vrhnika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bistrica to win✓
63%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Half-time result
Bistrica ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bistrica / FT Bistrica✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
Bistrica – last 6
WLDLWL
22 Aug
@ Bilje
4–1
W
15 Aug
vs Ilirija
0–6
L
7 Aug
@ Krka
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Voitsberg
4–5
L
23 May
vs Slovan Ljubljana
1–0
W
6 May
@ Beltinci
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dren Vrhnika – last 3
WWL
22 Aug
vs Dravinja
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Brežice
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Triglav
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bistrica and Dren Vrhnika.
What is the prediction for Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika?
On our numbers Bistrica have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Dren Vrhnika 22%.
How many goals will there be in Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika?
Our predicted score is Bistrica 1–1 Dren Vrhnika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika?
Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
