Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.03
Triglav vs Brežice preview and prediction
The match
Brežice travel to Stanko Mlakar Stadium in the 2. SNL on Wednesday 16 September (17:00 WAT) to face Triglav. Triglav are 3rd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Brežice sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Triglav's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Rudar 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Brežice's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Bistrica 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Triglav arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Triglav and 0.6 for Brežice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Triglav 73%, draw 16%, Brežice 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Triglav to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Triglav 2–0 Brežice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Triglav73%fair 1.37 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @6.00
Brežice11%fair 8.90 · @9.00
2.76Expected goals
2.12Triglav xG
0.64Brežice xG
43%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Triglav 2.1 – 0.6 Brežice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triglav to win✓
73%
1.37
1.20
Double chance
Triglav or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Triglav ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triglav / FT Triglav✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.03
–
Form
Triglav – last 6
LWWLWD
13 Sep
@ Rudar
0–2
L
4 Sep
vs Bistrica
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Dravinja
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Dren Vrhnika
1–0
W
22 May
@ Nafta
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Brežice – last 5
LDLLL
12 Sep
@ Bistrica
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Dravinja
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Tabor Sežana
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dren Vrhnika
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Bilje
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Triglav and Brežice.
Our pick is Triglav to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Triglav vs Brežice?
On our numbers Triglav have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Brežice 11%.
How many goals will there be in Triglav vs Brežice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Triglav vs Brežice?
Our predicted score is Triglav 2–0 Brežice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Triglav vs Brežice?
Triglav vs Brežice (2. SNL) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stanko Mlakar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
