Value bet: Dravinja to win @ 2.80 – our chance 48% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDravinja to win ✗48% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.14
Ilirija vs Dravinja preview and prediction
The match
Dravinja travel to face Ilirija in the 2. SNL on Sunday 9 August (16:30 WAT). Ilirija are 6th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Dravinja sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ilirija's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Beltinci 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Dravinja's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Jesenice 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Dravinja arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Dravinja 2–1 Ilirija.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Ilirija and 1.5 for Dravinja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilirija 31%, draw 21%, Dravinja 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Dravinja to win at 2.80 – 48% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Ilirija 1–1 Dravinja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilirija31%fair 3.20 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Dravinja48%fair 2.09 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.12Ilirija xG
1.48Dravinja xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ilirija 1.1 – 1.5 Dravinja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ilirija vs Dravinja?
On our numbers Ilirija have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dravinja 48%.
How many goals will there be in Ilirija vs Dravinja?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilirija vs Dravinja?
Our predicted score is Ilirija 1–1 Dravinja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ilirija vs Dravinja?
Ilirija vs Dravinja (2. SNL) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
