Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Gent to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGent to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceGent or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.14
Lommel United vs Gent preview and prediction
The match
Lommel United host Gent in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Soevereinstadion. Lommel United are 6th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Gent sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lommel United's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with OH Leuven 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Gent's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Anderlecht 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gent arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Lommel United and 1.7 for Gent. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lommel United 19%, draw 20%, Gent 61%.
Safer route: Gent or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Gent to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gent or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lommel United 0–1 Gent. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lommel United19%fair 5.23 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.50
Gent61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
2.50Expected goals
0.79Lommel United xG
1.71Gent xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Lommel United 0.8 – 1.7 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gent to win✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Gent or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gent / FT Gent✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.14
–
Form
Lommel United – last 6
DLWWDL
24 Oct
@ OH Leuven
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ St. Truiden
1–4
L
9 Oct
@ SK Beveren
3–1
W
26 Sep
@ Diksmuide
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs KV Mechelen
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Union St. Gilloise
0–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gent – last 6
WLDWWW
25 Oct
vs Anderlecht
4–0
W
22 Oct
@ SC Braga
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Rochefort
3–3
D
15 Oct
vs Aarhus
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Standard Liege
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lommel United and Gent.
Our pick is Gent or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lommel United vs Gent?
On our numbers Lommel United have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gent 61%.
How many goals will there be in Lommel United vs Gent?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs Gent?
Our predicted score is Lommel United 0–1 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lommel United vs Gent?
Lommel United vs Gent (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Soevereinstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
