Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Union St. Gilloise to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.73
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge preview and prediction
The match
Cercle Brugge travel to Stade Joseph Marien in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 25 October (19:15 WAT) to face Union St. Gilloise. Union St. Gilloise are 1st with 29 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Cercle Brugge sit 16th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union St. Gilloise's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Hapoel Beer Sheva 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cercle Brugge's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Sporting Hasselt 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Union St. Gilloise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Union St. Gilloise and 1.0 for Cercle Brugge. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union St. Gilloise 68%, draw 16%, Cercle Brugge 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union St. Gilloise to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union St. Gilloise68%fair 1.48 · @1.30
Draw16%fair 6.16 · @5.00
Cercle Brugge16%fair 6.20 · @8.00
3.19Expected goals
2.23Union St. Gilloise xG
0.96Cercle Brugge xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.2 – 1.0 Cercle Brugge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
68%
1.48
1.30
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.73
–
Form
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WWDDWW
22 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
4–0
W
18 Oct
vs Nijlen
3–0
W
15 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs OH Leuven
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Antwerp
2–0
W
17 Sep
@ Plzen
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cercle Brugge – last 6
WLLDLL
16 Oct
@ Sporting Hasselt
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Anderlecht
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Charleroi
2–3
L
12 Sep
@ OH Leuven
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Gent
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Lommel United
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Cercle Brugge 16%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Cercle Brugge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
