Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: SK Beveren to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSK Beveren to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceSK Beveren or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
SK Beveren vs Lommel United preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees SK Beveren take on Lommel United on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Freethiel Stadion. SK Beveren are 15th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Lommel United sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
SK Beveren's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Kortrijk 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lommel United's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Diksmuide 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for SK Beveren and 0.7 for Lommel United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: SK Beveren 61%, draw 23%, Lommel United 16%.
Safer route: SK Beveren or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.62.
Value angle: SK Beveren to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SK Beveren or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SK Beveren 1–0 Lommel United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SK Beveren61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.60
Lommel United16%fair 6.34 · @3.90
2.29Expected goals
1.62SK Beveren xG
0.67Lommel United xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: SK Beveren 1.6 – 0.7 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SK Beveren to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
SK Beveren or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SK Beveren / FT SK Beveren✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
SK Beveren – last 6
LWWLLW
20 Sep
@ Kortrijk
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs St. Truiden
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs OH Leuven
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Genk
0–4
L
22 Aug
@ Zulte Waregem
0–4
L
16 Aug
vs Anderlecht
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lommel United – last 6
WDLLWW
26 Sep
@ Diksmuide
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs KV Mechelen
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Union St. Gilloise
0–5
L
4 Sep
vs Club Brugge KV
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Cercle Brugge
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs KVC Westerlo
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SK Beveren and Lommel United.
What is the prediction for SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
Our pick is SK Beveren or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
On our numbers SK Beveren have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lommel United 16%.
How many goals will there be in SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is SK Beveren 1–0 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is SK Beveren vs Lommel United?
SK Beveren vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Freethiel Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
