Value bet: St. Truiden to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Truiden to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceSt. Truiden or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.33
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees St. Truiden take on KVC Westerlo on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stayen. St. Truiden are 12th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while KVC Westerlo sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
St. Truiden's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to SK Beveren 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
KVC Westerlo's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Standard Liege 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.9 for St. Truiden and 1.4 for KVC Westerlo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Truiden 66%, draw 21%, KVC Westerlo 14%.
Safer route: St. Truiden or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.44.
Value angle: St. Truiden to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: St. Truiden 2–1 KVC Westerlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Truiden66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.90
KVC Westerlo14%fair 7.32 · @4.33
4.25Expected goals
2.86St. Truiden xG
1.39KVC Westerlo xG
70%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–06%
1–16%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 2.9 – 1.4 KVC Westerlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✗
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
St. Truiden or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
St. Truiden ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.33
–
Form
St. Truiden – last 6
LWLWLW
12 Sep
@ SK Beveren
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs RAAL La Louvière
4–0
W
2 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Antwerp
4–1
W
27 Aug
@ Omonia Nicosia
2–4
L
20 Aug
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
KVC Westerlo – last 6
WWDLLL
12 Sep
vs Standard Liege
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ KV Mechelen
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Zulte Waregem
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Lommel United
0–4
L
15 Aug
@ Genk
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Union St. Gilloise
1–5
L
2.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and KVC Westerlo.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KVC Westerlo 14%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 2–1 KVC Westerlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo?
St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stayen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
