Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGent to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.06
Gent vs Standard Liege preview and prediction
The match
Standard Liege travel to Ghelamco Arena in the Jupiler Pro League on Friday 18 September (19:45 WAT) to face Gent. Gent are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Standard Liege sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gent's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Genk 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Standard Liege's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to KVC Westerlo 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Gent arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Gent and 1.0 for Standard Liege. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gent 59%, draw 20%, Standard Liege 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gent to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gent 2–1 Standard Liege. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gent59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.40
Standard Liege21%fair 4.83 · @4.20
3.00Expected goals
1.95Gent xG
1.05Standard Liege xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Gent 2.0 – 1.0 Standard Liege expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gent to win✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Gent ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gent / FT Gent✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.06
–
Form
Gent – last 6
DWWWWD
13 Sep
@ Genk
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Cercle Brugge
3–0
W
3 Sep
vs OH Leuven
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Club Brugge KV
2–1
W
27 Aug
@ Hibernian
3–2
W
20 Aug
vs Hibernian
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Standard Liege – last 6
LWWWDD
12 Sep
@ KVC Westerlo
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs Antwerp
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ OH Leuven
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs RAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ KV Mechelen
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Cercle Brugge
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gent and Standard Liege.
What is the prediction for Gent vs Standard Liege?
Our pick is Gent to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gent vs Standard Liege?
On our numbers Gent have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Standard Liege 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs Standard Liege?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs Standard Liege?
Our predicted score is Gent 2–1 Standard Liege, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Gent vs Standard Liege?
Gent vs Standard Liege (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ghelamco Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
