Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.96
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United preview and prediction
The match
Lommel United travel to Stade Joseph Marien in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 12 September (19:45 WAT) to face Union St. Gilloise. Union St. Gilloise are 1st with 29 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Lommel United sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union St. Gilloise's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Charleroi 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lommel United's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Club Brugge KV 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Union St. Gilloise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.7 for Lommel United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union St. Gilloise 69%, draw 18%, Lommel United 13%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union St. Gilloise to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Lommel United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union St. Gilloise69%fair 1.46 · @1.22
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @6.00
Lommel United13%fair 7.62 · @11.00
2.60Expected goals
1.93Union St. Gilloise xG
0.67Lommel United xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 1.9 – 0.7 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
69%
1.46
1.22
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.96
–
Form
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WWWDDW
5 Sep
@ Charleroi
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ St. Truiden
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Anderlecht
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Zulte Waregem
0–0
D
11 Aug
@ BodoGlimt
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ KVC Westerlo
5–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lommel United – last 6
LWWLDL
4 Sep
vs Club Brugge KV
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Cercle Brugge
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs KVC Westerlo
4–0
W
16 Aug
vs Charleroi
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ St. Truiden
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs ADO Den Haag
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Lommel United.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lommel United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?
Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
