The Jupiler Pro League sees Gent take on OH Leuven on Thursday 3 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Planet Group Arena. Gent are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while OH Leuven sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gent's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Club Brugge KV 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
OH Leuven's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Standard Liege 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 3.5 conceded.
Gent arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Gent and 0.8 for OH Leuven. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gent 67%, draw 21%, OH Leuven 13%.
Safer route: Gent or draw (87%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gent 2–0 OH Leuven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gent67%fair 1.50 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.90
OH Leuven13%fair 7.98 · @5.60
2.92Expected goals
2.11Gent xG
0.81OH Leuven xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Gent 2.1 – 0.8 OH Leuven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gent to win✓
67%
1.50
1.57
Double chance
Gent or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.42
Half-time result
Gent ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gent / FT Gent✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.33
–
Form
Gent – last 6
WWDWDW
30 Aug
vs Club Brugge KV
2–1
W
27 Aug
@ Hibernian
3–2
W
20 Aug
vs Hibernian
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ RAAL La Louvière
2–1
W
13 Aug
vs IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
OH Leuven – last 6
LLLLDL
29 Aug
vs Standard Liege
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
9 Aug
@ Charleroi
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Lille
3–6
L
25 Jul
@ Heerenveen
4–4
D
24 Jul
@ Club Brugge II
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gent and OH Leuven.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gent vs OH Leuven?
On our numbers Gent have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and OH Leuven 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs OH Leuven?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs OH Leuven?
Our predicted score is Gent 2–0 OH Leuven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gent vs OH Leuven?
Gent vs OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
