Charleroi travel to Soevereinstadion in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 16 August (18:15 WAT) to face Lommel United. Lommel United are 6th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Charleroi sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lommel United's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with St. Truiden 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Charleroi's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat OH Leuven 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Lommel United and 1.6 for Charleroi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lommel United 31%, draw 22%, Charleroi 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Lommel United 1–1 Charleroi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lommel United31%fair 3.23 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Charleroi47%fair 2.12 · @2.20
2.82Expected goals
1.23Lommel United xG
1.59Charleroi xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lommel United 1.2 – 1.6 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✓
47%
2.12
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.52
–
Form
Lommel United – last 6
DLWLDW
8 Aug
@ St. Truiden
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs ADO Den Haag
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs GO Ahead Eagles
2–1
W
15 Jul
@ OH Leuven
1–5
L
11 Jul
@ Cercle Brugge
1–1
D
17 May
vs Dender
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charleroi – last 6
WLWDLD
9 Aug
vs OH Leuven
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Rayo Vallecano
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Seraing United
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Lens
2–2
D
17 Jul
@ Feyenoord
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Reims
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lommel United and Charleroi.
What is the prediction for Lommel United vs Charleroi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lommel United vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Lommel United have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charleroi 47%.
How many goals will there be in Lommel United vs Charleroi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Lommel United 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lommel United vs Charleroi?
Lommel United vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Soevereinstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
