Value bet: St. Truiden to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCercle Brugge to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden preview and prediction
The match
St. Truiden travel to Jan Breydel Stadium in the Jupiler Pro League on Friday 14 August (19:45 WAT) to face Cercle Brugge. Cercle Brugge are 16th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while St. Truiden sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cercle Brugge's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Standard Liege 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
St. Truiden's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Lommel United 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
St. Truiden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished St. Truiden 2–1 Cercle Brugge.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Cercle Brugge and 1.4 for St. Truiden. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cercle Brugge 41%, draw 23%, St. Truiden 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: St. Truiden to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cercle Brugge 1–1 St. Truiden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cercle Brugge41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
St. Truiden37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
2.94Expected goals
1.52Cercle Brugge xG
1.42St. Truiden xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cercle Brugge 1.5 – 1.4 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers Cercle Brugge have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and St. Truiden 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is Cercle Brugge 1–1 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden?
Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Jan Breydel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.