St. Truiden vs Lommel United preview and prediction
The match
St. Truiden host Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Daio Wasabi Stayen. St. Truiden are 12th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Lommel United sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
St. Truiden's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to AEK Athens FC 0–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lommel United's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to ADO Den Haag 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for St. Truiden and 0.7 for Lommel United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Truiden 68%, draw 22%, Lommel United 10%.
Safer route: St. Truiden or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St. Truiden to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Truiden 2–0 Lommel United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Truiden68%fair 1.46 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.80
Lommel United10%fair 10.14 · @5.25
2.74Expected goals
2.06St. Truiden xG
0.68Lommel United xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
0–06%
From our goals model: St. Truiden 2.1 – 0.7 Lommel United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Truiden to win✗
68%
1.46
1.62 ▲
Double chance
St. Truiden or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
St. Truiden ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Truiden / FT St. Truiden✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.29
–
Form
St. Truiden – last 6
LLWWWW
2 Aug
@ AEK Athens FC
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Helmond Sport
0–1
L
22 Jul
@ Liège
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ FC Luzern
2–1
W
15 Jul
@ Patro Eisden
4–0
W
4 Jul
@ Zepperen-Brustem
6–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lommel United – last 6
LWLDWW
24 Jul
vs ADO Den Haag
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs GO Ahead Eagles
2–1
W
15 Jul
@ OH Leuven
1–5
L
11 Jul
@ Cercle Brugge
1–1
D
17 May
vs Dender
3–2
W
27 Apr
@ Liège
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Truiden and Lommel United.
What is the prediction for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
Our pick is St. Truiden to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
On our numbers St. Truiden have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lommel United 10%.
How many goals will there be in St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
Our predicted score is St. Truiden 2–0 Lommel United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
St. Truiden vs Lommel United (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Daio Wasabi Stayen.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
