First League · Montenegro · Stadion TopolicaMornar vs Mladost DG prediction & analysis
Mornar to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mornar 1.9 – 0.6 Mladost DG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mornar are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 10% for Mladost DG.
Mornar have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Mladost DG have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.9 for Mornar, 0.6 for Mladost DG). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 41%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (15%), 3–0 (10%).
In their last 4 meetings, Mornar have won 4, Mladost DG have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Mornar to win at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.48 is close to our fair price of 1.46.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mornar to win ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | Mornar or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Mornar ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mornar / FT Mornar ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.46 | – |
Form
Mornar – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Arsenal Tivat | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | @ Otrant-Olympic | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Oct | vs Jezero | 3–3 | D |
| 2 Oct | @ Mladost DG | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Dečić | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Otrant-Olympic | 0–1 | L |
Mladost DG – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Jezero | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs Iskra | 4–0 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ Otrant-Olympic | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Mornar | 1–5 | L |
| 28 Sep | @ Petrovac | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Bokelj | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
| 2 Oct 2026 | Mladost DG v Mornar | 1–5 |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Mladost DG v Mornar | 2–3 |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Mladost DG v Mornar | 1–2 |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Mornar v Mladost DG | 3–0 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Mornar | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sutjeska | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Dečić | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bokelj | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Petrovac | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Jezero | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 15 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat | 14 | -10 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mornar vs Mladost DG?
Our pick is Mornar to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Mornar vs Mladost DG?
On our numbers Mornar have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mladost DG 10%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Mladost DG?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is Mornar vs Mladost DG?
Mornar vs Mladost DG (First League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.