First League · Montenegro · Stadion GradskiSutjeska vs Bokelj prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sutjeska 1.3 – 0.6 Bokelj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sutjeska hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 22% for Bokelj.
Sutjeska have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.0 per game. Bokelj have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 1.9 goals (1.3 for Sutjeska, 0.6 for Bokelj). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 0–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sutjeska have won 0, Bokelj have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sutjeska to win ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sutjeska / FT Sutjeska ✓ | 31% | 3.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.33 | – |
Form
Sutjeska – last 6
| 14 Oct | vs Dečić | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Buducnost Podgorica | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Arsenal Tivat | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Dečić | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Mornar | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Petrovac | 0–0 | D |
Bokelj – last 6
| 14 Oct | vs Buducnost Podgorica | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Mladost DG | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | @ Jezero | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | vs Otrant-Olympic | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | @ Mornar | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Buducnost Podgorica | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 9 Aug 2026 | Bokelj v Sutjeska | 1–0 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Mornar | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sutjeska | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Dečić | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bokelj | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Petrovac | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Jezero | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 15 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat | 14 | -10 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sutjeska vs Bokelj?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sutjeska vs Bokelj?
On our numbers Sutjeska have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bokelj 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sutjeska vs Bokelj?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
When is Sutjeska vs Bokelj?
Sutjeska vs Bokelj (First League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.