First League · Montenegro · TuskoDečić vs Mornar prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Dečić 0.9 – 1.0 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Dečić and Mornar on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Dečić have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Mornar have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 1.8 goals (0.9 for Dečić, 1.0 for Mornar). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (16%), 0–1 (16%), 1–0 (14%).
In their last 2 meetings, Dečić have won 0, Mornar have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.91.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mornar to win ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 24% | 4.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 16% | 6.43 | – |
Form
Dečić – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ Sutjeska | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Sep | vs Petrovac | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Mladost DG | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Jezero | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Otrant-Olympic | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | vs Bokelj | 1–0 | W |
Mornar – last 6
| 14 Sep | vs Otrant-Olympic | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Sutjeska | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Sep | vs Bokelj | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Petrovac | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Aug | vs Buducnost Podgorica | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Mladost DG | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 28 May 2026 | Dečić v Mornar | 0–1 |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Dečić v Mornar | 0–0 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Mornar | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sutjeska | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Dečić | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bokelj | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Petrovac | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Jezero | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 15 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat | 14 | -10 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Dečić vs Mornar?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Dečić vs Mornar?
On our numbers Dečić have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mornar 40%.
How many goals will there be in Dečić vs Mornar?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Dečić vs Mornar?
Dečić vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tusko.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.