First League · Montenegro · Stadion u ParkuArsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska prediction & analysis
Sutjeska to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 0.6 – 1.3 Sutjeska expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sutjeska shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 18% for Arsenal Tivat.
Arsenal Tivat have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Sutjeska have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Sutjeska come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.9 goals (0.6 for Arsenal Tivat, 1.3 for Sutjeska). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (20%), 0–0 (15%), 0–2 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Arsenal Tivat have won 0, Sutjeska have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Sutjeska to win at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is better than our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sutjeska to win ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | Sutjeska or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sutjeska / FT Sutjeska ✓ | 32% | 3.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 20% | 5.02 | – |
Form
Arsenal Tivat – last 6
| 14 Sep | @ Petrovac | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | vs Mladost DG | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Jezero | 2–5 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Otrant-Olympic | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Bokelj | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Buducnost Podgorica | 0–0 | D |
Sutjeska – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Dečić | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs Mornar | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Petrovac | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs Mladost DG | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Jezero | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Otrant-Olympic | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
| 11 Mar 2026 | Sutjeska v Arsenal Tivat | 4–1 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Mornar | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sutjeska | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Dečić | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bokelj | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Petrovac | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Jezero | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 15 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat | 14 | -10 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska?
Our pick is Sutjeska to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska?
On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sutjeska 57%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska?
Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska (First League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.