First League · Montenegro · Stadion u ParkuArsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Arsenal Tivat 1.2 – 1.1 Mladost DG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Arsenal Tivat and Mladost DG on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Arsenal Tivat have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (0W 4D 2L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Mladost DG have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Arsenal Tivat, 1.1 for Mladost DG). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Arsenal Tivat have won 0, Mladost DG have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.39 is close to our fair price of 1.50.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arsenal Tivat to win ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.34 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.39 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Arsenal Tivat / FT Arsenal Tivat ✗ | 22% | 4.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.25 | – |
Form
Arsenal Tivat – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Jezero | 2–5 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Otrant-Olympic | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ Bokelj | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Buducnost Podgorica | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Aug | @ Mornar | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Aug | @ Dečić | 0–0 | D |
Mladost DG – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Dečić | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Sutjeska | 1–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Petrovac | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Mornar | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Jezero | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Otrant-Olympic | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 24 May 2026 | Arsenal Tivat v Mladost DG | 1–4 |
First League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Otrant-Olympic | 15 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Buducnost Podgorica | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 |  Mornar | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sutjeska | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Dečić | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Bokelj | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Petrovac | 14 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  Jezero | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Mladost DG | 15 | -14 | 12 |
| 10 |  Arsenal Tivat | 14 | -10 | 9 |
More First League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG?
On our numbers Arsenal Tivat have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mladost DG 35%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG?
Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG (First League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion u Parku.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.