Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✗72% · @1.18
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol preview and prediction
The match
Politehnica UTM host Sheriff Tiraspol in the Super Liga on Saturday 4 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Complexul Sportiv Raional. Politehnica UTM are 6th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Sheriff Tiraspol sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Politehnica UTM's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to CSF Bălți 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sheriff Tiraspol's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Sireți 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.7 for Politehnica UTM and 2.3 for Sheriff Tiraspol. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Politehnica UTM 0–3 Sheriff Tiraspol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Politehnica UTM9%fair 11.12 · @10.00
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @6.00
Sheriff Tiraspol72%fair 1.39 · @1.18
3.07Expected goals
0.74Politehnica UTM xG
2.33Sheriff Tiraspol xG
48%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Politehnica UTM 0.7 – 2.3 Sheriff Tiraspol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheriff Tiraspol to win✗
72%
1.39
1.18
Double chance
Sheriff Tiraspol or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Sheriff Tiraspol ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sheriff Tiraspol / FT Sheriff Tiraspol✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.97
–
Form
Politehnica UTM – last 6
LWWWLW
27 Jun
@ CSF Bălți
0–3
L
4 May
vs Spartanii Selemet
2–0
W
1 May
@ Iskra
2–0
W
24 Apr
vs Sireți
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Zimbru
0–5
L
17 Apr
vs FC Stăuceni
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sheriff Tiraspol – last 6
WDWLWD
28 Jun
vs Sireți
3–0
W
17 May
@ Milsami Orhei
0–0
D
13 May
vs Petrocub
2–0
W
6 May
@ Petrocub
0–1
L
21 Apr
@ Dacia-Buiucani
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Zimbru
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Politehnica UTM and Sheriff Tiraspol.
What is the prediction for Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
On our numbers Politehnica UTM have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sheriff Tiraspol 72%.
How many goals will there be in Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Our predicted score is Politehnica UTM 0–3 Sheriff Tiraspol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexul Sportiv Raional.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
