Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.60 – our chance 53% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +91%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗53% · @3.60
Double chanceVålerenga W or draw ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗10% · fair 9.63
Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W preview and prediction
The match
Vålerenga W host Malmö FF W in the UEFA Champions League Women on Wednesday 5 August, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadion am Brentanobad.
Form guide
Vålerenga W's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Rosenborg W 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Malmö FF W's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Piteå W 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Vålerenga W and 1.5 for Malmö FF W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 68%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vålerenga W 28%, draw 53%, Malmö FF W 19%.
Safer route: Vålerenga W or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Draw at 3.60 – 53% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vålerenga W or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vålerenga W 1–1 Malmö FF W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vålerenga W28%fair 3.58 · @2.05
Draw53%fair 1.89 · @3.60
Malmö FF W19%fair 5.24 · @2.95
3.20Expected goals
1.70Vålerenga W xG
1.50Malmö FF W xG
68%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Vålerenga W 1.7 – 1.5 Malmö FF W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
53%
1.89
3.60 ▲
Double chance
Vålerenga W or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vålerenga W / FT Vålerenga W✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
10%
9.63
–
Form
Vålerenga W – last 6
LLLWWW
20 Jun
@ Rosenborg W
2–3
L
13 Jun
vs Brann W
0–3
L
31 May
@ Lyn W
0–2
L
26 May
vs Bodø Glimt W
7–1
W
8 May
@ Hønefoss W
3–0
W
29 Apr
vs Stabæk W
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Malmö FF W – last 6
DLWWDW
31 Jul
vs Piteå W
0–0
D
27 Jul
@ Vittsjö W
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Kristianstad W
6–0
W
17 Jun
@ Djurgården W
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Eskilstuna United W
1–1
D
31 May
vs Växjö W
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vålerenga W and Malmö FF W.
What is the prediction for Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
Our pick is Vålerenga W or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
On our numbers Vålerenga W have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Malmö FF W 19%.
How many goals will there be in Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
Our predicted score is Vålerenga W 1–1 Malmö FF W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W?
Vålerenga W vs Malmö FF W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion am Brentanobad.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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