I Liga · Poland · Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu

Stal Mielec

WDLWL
2–0
FT

Ruch Chorzów

DWWWW

Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Ruch Chorzów to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultRuch Chorzów to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.84

Win chances

Stal Mielec15%fair 6.62 · @4.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.64
Ruch Chorzów63%fair 1.60 · @1.67
2.87Expected goals
0.88Stal Mielec xG
1.99Ruch Chorzów xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Stal Mielec 0.9 – 2.0 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Ruch Chorzów travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 15% for Stal Mielec.

Stal Mielec have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2 per game. Ruch Chorzów have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. Ruch Chorzów come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.9 goals (0.9 for Stal Mielec, 2.0 for Ruch Chorzów). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Ruch Chorzów to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRuch Chorzów to win ✗63%1.601.67
Double chanceRuch Chorzów or draw ✗85%1.181.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.40
Half-time resultRuch Chorzów ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ruch Chorzów / FT Ruch Chorzów ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.84–

Form

Stal Mielec – last 6

WDLWLL
30 Oct@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1–0W
24 Octvs Chrobry Głogów0–0D
17 Oct@ Miedz Legnica0–3L
11 Octvs Warta Poznań2–1W
19 Sep@ Lechia Gdansk1–7L
14 Sepvs Nieciecza1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ruch Chorzów – last 6

DWWWWL
3 Nov@ Pogoń Siedlce1–1D
28 Oct@ Znicz Pruszków1–0W
25 Octvs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–0W
16 Octvs Odra Opole3–0W
11 Oct@ ŁKS Łódź2–0W
3 Octvs Lechia Gdansk1–3L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stal Mielec and Ruch Chorzów.

More I Liga predictions

FT Polonia Bytom1 Lechia Gdansk0 451936 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.40 ✗ FT ŁKS Łódź1 Stal Rzeszów0 671913 1ŁKS Łódź to win 67%@1.60 ✓ FT Pogoń Siedlce2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1 402337 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?

Our pick is Ruch Chorzów to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?

On our numbers Stal Mielec have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ruch Chorzów 63%.

How many goals will there be in Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

When is Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów?

Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.