I Liga · Poland · Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8
Polonia Bytom
Lechia Gdansk
Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Polonia Bytom 1.8 – 1.6 Lechia Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Polonia Bytom hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 36% for Lechia Gdansk.
Polonia Bytom have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Lechia Gdansk have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.8 for Polonia Bytom, 1.6 for Lechia Gdansk). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Polonia Bytom to win ✓ | 45% | 2.21 | 2.04 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.08 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.64 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Polonia Bytom / FT Polonia Bytom ✓ | 26% | 3.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.44 | – |
Form
Polonia Bytom – last 6
| 2 Nov | vs Odra Opole | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | @ Chrobry Głogów | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Unia Skierniewice | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Chrobry Głogów | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Puszcza Niepołomice | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Raków Częstochowa | 1–4 | L |
Lechia Gdansk – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Unia Skierniewice | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Jagiellonia | 0–6 | L |
| 24 Oct | @ Puszcza Niepołomice | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Arka Gdynia | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Stal Rzeszów | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Ruch Chorzów | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Bytom and Lechia Gdansk.
More I Liga predictions
ŁKS Łódź1
Stal Rzeszów0
1ŁKS Łódź to win
67%@1.60
✓
FT
Pogoń Siedlce2
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.20
✓
FT
Stal Mielec2
Ruch Chorzów0
2Ruch Chorzów to win
63%@1.67
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk?
On our numbers Polonia Bytom have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lechia Gdansk 36%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk?
Polonia Bytom vs Lechia Gdansk (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.