Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win ✗49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec preview and prediction
The match
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki host Stal Mielec in the I Liga on Friday 30 October, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki are 7th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Stal Mielec sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Ruch Chorzów 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Stal Mielec's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Chrobry Głogów 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–2 Stal Mielec.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki and 1.3 for Stal Mielec. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Stal Mielec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Stal Mielec30%fair 3.28 · @3.00
3.04Expected goals
1.73Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki xG
1.31Stal Mielec xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1.7 – 1.3 Stal Mielec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to win✗
49%
2.05
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki / FT Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki✗
What is the prediction for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
On our numbers Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stal Mielec 30%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–1 Stal Mielec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec?
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Stal Mielec (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
