Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Polonia Warszawa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica preview and prediction
The match
Polonia Warszawa host Miedz Legnica in the I Liga on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Polonii. Polonia Warszawa are 1st with 25 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Miedz Legnica sit 8th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Miedz Legnica's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Stal Mielec 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Polonia Warszawa and 0.9 for Miedz Legnica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Polonia Warszawa 62%, draw 15%, Miedz Legnica 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Warszawa to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Miedz Legnica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Warszawa62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw15%fair 6.70 · @3.40
Miedz Legnica23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
2.64Expected goals
1.75Polonia Warszawa xG
0.89Miedz Legnica xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 1.7 – 0.9 Miedz Legnica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✗
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WWWWDL
17 Oct
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Arka Gdynia
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Miedz Legnica – last 6
WLLLLD
17 Oct
vs Stal Mielec
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Odra Opole
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Stal Rzeszów
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Lechia Gdansk
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and Miedz Legnica.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
Our pick is Polonia Warszawa to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Miedz Legnica 23%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 1–0 Miedz Legnica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica?
Polonia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
