Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Nieciecza or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Nieciecza to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNieciecza to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceNieciecza or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.03
Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice preview and prediction
The match
Nieciecza host Puszcza Niepołomice in the I Liga on Monday 19 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza. Nieciecza are 6th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Puszcza Niepołomice sit 16th on 14 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Nieciecza's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Unia Skierniewice 2–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Puszcza Niepołomice's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Pogoń Siedlce 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Nieciecza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Nieciecza and 0.8 for Puszcza Niepołomice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Nieciecza to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nieciecza or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nieciecza 1–0 Puszcza Niepołomice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nieciecza62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Puszcza Niepołomice13%fair 7.87 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.95Nieciecza xG
0.80Puszcza Niepołomice xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.9 – 0.8 Puszcza Niepołomice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nieciecza to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Nieciecza or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Nieciecza ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.03
–
Form
Nieciecza – last 6
DWWWWW
10 Oct
@ Unia Skierniewice
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Cracovia Krakow
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Odra Opole
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ Stal Mielec
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ Wigry Suwałki
5–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Puszcza Niepołomice – last 6
WLLLLW
15 Oct
@ Pogoń Siedlce
3–1
W
11 Oct
vs Polonia Bytom
0–1
L
2 Oct
@ Wieczysta Kraków
3–4
L
18 Sep
@ Warta Poznań
2–3
L
11 Sep
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–2
L
1 Sep
@ Wisła Płock II
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Puszcza Niepołomice.
What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Our pick is Nieciecza or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
On our numbers Nieciecza have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puszcza Niepołomice 13%.
How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–0 Puszcza Niepołomice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
