Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Podbeskidzie or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Podbeskidzie to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPodbeskidzie to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chancePodbeskidzie or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.67
Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce preview and prediction
The match
Podbeskidzie host Pogoń Siedlce in the I Liga on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej. Podbeskidzie are 15th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Pogoń Siedlce sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Podbeskidzie's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Třinec 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Pogoń Siedlce's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Arka Gdynia 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pogoń Siedlce arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Podbeskidzie and 0.7 for Pogoń Siedlce. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Podbeskidzie to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Podbeskidzie or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Podbeskidzie 1–0 Pogoń Siedlce. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Podbeskidzie64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Pogoń Siedlce15%fair 6.55 · @3.75
2.47Expected goals
1.77Podbeskidzie xG
0.70Pogoń Siedlce xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Podbeskidzie 1.8 – 0.7 Pogoń Siedlce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Podbeskidzie to win✓
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Podbeskidzie or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Podbeskidzie ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Podbeskidzie / FT Podbeskidzie✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.67
–
Form
Podbeskidzie – last 6
LDDDLL
2 Oct
vs Třinec
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Unia Skierniewice
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Ruch Chorzów
3–3
D
6 Sep
@ Polonia Bytom
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Stal Rzeszów
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
WDDWLW
20 Sep
vs Arka Gdynia
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Chrobry Głogów
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Kluczevia Stargard
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Stal Mielec
2–0
W
21 Aug
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Podbeskidzie and Pogoń Siedlce.
What is the prediction for Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our pick is Podbeskidzie or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?
On our numbers Podbeskidzie have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pogoń Siedlce 15%.
How many goals will there be in Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Our predicted score is Podbeskidzie 1–0 Pogoń Siedlce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Siedlce (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
