Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Arka Gdynia take on Polonia Warszawa on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni. Arka Gdynia are 12th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Polonia Warszawa sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Arka Gdynia's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Pogoń Siedlce 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Jagiellonia 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Arka Gdynia and 1.3 for Polonia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arka Gdynia 41%, draw 24%, Polonia Warszawa 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Arka Gdynia 1–1 Polonia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arka Gdynia41%fair 2.44 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.20
Polonia Warszawa35%fair 2.84 · @2.80
2.72Expected goals
1.42Arka Gdynia xG
1.30Polonia Warszawa xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Arka Gdynia 1.4 – 1.3 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
41%
2.44
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.67
–
Form
Arka Gdynia – last 6
LLDWDL
20 Sep
@ Pogoń Siedlce
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Warta Poznań
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Resovia Rzeszów
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Polonia Bytom
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WWDLWL
3 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Stal Rzeszów
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Górnik Polkowice
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arka Gdynia and Polonia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
On our numbers Arka Gdynia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Polonia Warszawa 35%.
How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Arka Gdynia 1–1 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?
Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gdyni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
