Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Arka Gdynia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Arka Gdynia to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArka Gdynia to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceArka Gdynia or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.74
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia preview and prediction
The match
The I Liga sees Pogoń Siedlce take on Arka Gdynia on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadion ROSRRiT. Pogoń Siedlce are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Arka Gdynia sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogoń Siedlce's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Chrobry Głogów 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arka Gdynia's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Warta Poznań 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.7 for Pogoń Siedlce and 1.5 for Arka Gdynia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogoń Siedlce 18%, draw 23%, Arka Gdynia 58%.
Safer route: Arka Gdynia or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Arka Gdynia to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arka Gdynia or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Arka Gdynia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Siedlce18%fair 5.43 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.25
Arka Gdynia58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
2.13Expected goals
0.66Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.47Arka Gdynia xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
0–012%
1–112%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 0.7 – 1.5 Arka Gdynia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arka Gdynia to win✗
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Arka Gdynia or draw✗
82%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arka Gdynia / FT Arka Gdynia✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.74
–
Form
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
DDWLWD
12 Sep
@ Chrobry Głogów
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Kluczevia Stargard
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Stal Mielec
2–0
W
21 Aug
@ Lechia Gdansk
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arka Gdynia – last 6
LDWDLW
12 Sep
@ Warta Poznań
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Resovia Rzeszów
4–0
W
30 Aug
vs Polonia Bytom
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Miedz Legnica
0–2
L
17 Aug
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Arka Gdynia.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
Our pick is Arka Gdynia or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arka Gdynia 58%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 0–1 Arka Gdynia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia (I Liga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
