Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStal Mielec to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza preview and prediction
The match
Stal Mielec host Nieciecza in the I Liga on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu. Stal Mielec are 11th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Nieciecza sit 6th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stal Mielec's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Odra Opole 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Nieciecza's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Lechia Gdansk 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Stal Mielec and 1.7 for Nieciecza. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stal Mielec 39%, draw 22%, Nieciecza 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Stal Mielec 1–1 Nieciecza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stal Mielec39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Nieciecza39%fair 2.60 · @2.50
3.43Expected goals
1.72Stal Mielec xG
1.71Nieciecza xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Stal Mielec 1.7 – 1.7 Nieciecza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stal Mielec to win✗
39%
2.56
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stal Mielec / FT Stal Mielec✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Form
Stal Mielec – last 6
DDLLWD
5 Sep
vs Odra Opole
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Górnik Łęczna
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Pogoń Siedlce
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ ŁKS Łódź
0–4
L
16 Aug
vs Polonia Bytom
5–2
W
8 Aug
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nieciecza – last 6
WWDLLL
4 Sep
vs Lechia Gdansk
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ Wigry Suwałki
5–1
W
28 Aug
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Polonia Warszawa
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ ŁKS Łódź
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Warta Poznań
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stal Mielec and Nieciecza.
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
On our numbers Stal Mielec have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nieciecza 39%.
How many goals will there be in Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
Our predicted score is Stal Mielec 1–1 Nieciecza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?
Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza (I Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
