Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa preview and prediction
The match
Polonia Warszawa travel to Stadion ROSRRiT in the I Liga on Saturday 15 August (14:30 WAT) to face Pogoń Siedlce. Pogoń Siedlce are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Polonia Warszawa sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Pogoń Siedlce's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Polonia Bytom 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Ruch Chorzów 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Polonia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Pogoń Siedlce and 1.9 for Polonia Warszawa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pogoń Siedlce 20%, draw 19%, Polonia Warszawa 61%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pogoń Siedlce 0–2 Polonia Warszawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogoń Siedlce20%fair 4.99 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.70
Polonia Warszawa61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
2.77Expected goals
0.92Pogoń Siedlce xG
1.85Polonia Warszawa xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Pogoń Siedlce 0.9 – 1.9 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Half-time result
Polonia Warszawa ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.60
–
Form
Pogoń Siedlce – last 6
DLDWDL
7 Aug
@ Polonia Bytom
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Nieciecza
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs ŁKS Łódź
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Radomiak Radom
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Jagiellonia
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
DWWWLL
7 Aug
vs Ruch Chorzów
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Unia Skierniewice
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
15 Jul
vs Zlin
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Motor Lublin
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Siedlce and Polonia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
On our numbers Pogoń Siedlce have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polonia Warszawa 61%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Siedlce 0–2 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa (I Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion ROSRRiT.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
