Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Polonia Warszawa to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPolonia Warszawa to win ✗52% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów preview and prediction
The match
Ruch Chorzów travel to Stadion Polonii in the I Liga on Friday 7 August (19:30 WAT) to face Polonia Warszawa. Polonia Warszawa are 1st with 25 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Ruch Chorzów sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Polonia Warszawa's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Unia Skierniewice 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ruch Chorzów's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Miedz Legnica 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Polonia Warszawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Polonia Warszawa and 0.9 for Ruch Chorzów. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Polonia Warszawa 52%, draw 22%, Ruch Chorzów 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Polonia Warszawa to win at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Polonia Warszawa 1–1 Ruch Chorzów. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Warszawa52%fair 1.94 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Ruch Chorzów27%fair 3.77 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.38Polonia Warszawa xG
0.87Ruch Chorzów xG
58%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Polonia Warszawa 1.4 – 0.9 Ruch Chorzów expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Warszawa to win✗
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Warszawa / FT Polonia Warszawa✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.88
–
Form
Polonia Warszawa – last 6
WWWLLW
1 Aug
vs Unia Skierniewice
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Puszcza Niepołomice
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
3–2
W
15 Jul
vs Zlin
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Motor Lublin
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Pelikan Łowicz
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ruch Chorzów – last 6
LLLLWL
2 Aug
vs Miedz Legnica
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Nieciecza
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Karviná
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ Wieczysta Kraków
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Śląsk Wrocław II
1–0
W
24 May
@ Znicz Pruszków
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Warszawa and Ruch Chorzów.
What is the prediction for Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
On our numbers Polonia Warszawa have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ruch Chorzów 27%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
Our predicted score is Polonia Warszawa 1–1 Ruch Chorzów, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów (I Liga) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Polonii.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
