Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Nafta to win @ 3.00 – our chance 42% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNafta to win ✗42% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Mura vs Nafta preview and prediction
The match
The 1. SNL sees Mura take on Nafta on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija. Mura are 9th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Nafta sit 6th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mura's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Olimpija Ljubljana 3–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nafta's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Bravo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Nafta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Nafta 5–2 Mura.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Mura and 1.7 for Nafta. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mura 35%, draw 23%, Nafta 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Nafta to win at 3.00 – 42% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Mura 1–1 Nafta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mura35%fair 2.85 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Nafta42%fair 2.38 · @3.00
3.23Expected goals
1.53Mura xG
1.70Nafta xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Mura 1.5 – 1.7 Nafta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mura vs Nafta?
On our numbers Mura have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nafta 42%.
How many goals will there be in Mura vs Nafta?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mura vs Nafta?
Our predicted score is Mura 1–1 Nafta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Mura vs Nafta?
Mura vs Nafta (1. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mestni stadion Fazanerija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
